Warhammer Throne
Chapter 539: , Behavioral Economics
Teresa's unexpected wish caused all the knights in the tent to focus on her. The female warlock held the violet staff and said seriously: "Is it possible that Chaos and the undead have reached a fragile alliance?"
"This is possible. Kuangsha Literature Network" First of all, Ryan affirmed Teresa's views, which made the female warlock a little delighted, but the lake **** witch Mogiana immediately retorted: "I have no intention of targeting you. , Ms. Teresa, but the undead are allied with Chaos? Does it make any sense?"
"What's the point?" Teresa took the conversation naturally, and she glanced calmly at Ryan's watch.
There was a little curiosity and interest on Ryan’s face, which gave Teresa a great encouragement. The sorcerer ignored the somewhat unpleasant gazes of a dozen holy grail knights and more than twenty noble knights in the tent, and took advantage of the situation. Go on: "Of course it is because of pressure. The tremendous pressure forces the undead and chaos to unite together."
After finishing speaking, Teresa stretched out a hand wrapped in white lace and clicked on the map: "Look, before, the Spire Palace has fallen, and according to the news, the army of Northern Lawn has also surrounded Richard. Castle, if I were Musilon’s viper, then I must be aware that the undead are in desperation."
"At this time, the undead had already lost a lot when attacking the spire palace, and also lost a lot of blood knights and black holy grail knights. The last frightened beast also died under Ryan's sword. Then at this time, Mu Xilong's The Viper also gave up regaining the Palace of the Spire and immediately went north to rescue Richard Castle. He will face great pressure in terms of military strength. At this time, the Viper should be forced to seek allies, because if they can't quickly defeat Raun and his The Chivalry army, then when our army is assembled and attacked on both sides, the Viper is definitely unable to deal with it. He can only retreat to Mu Xilong again.” Teresa continued: “And if this is the case, we can do a long-term siege of Mu. Silom’s preparations, this time we are fully prepared."
"Therefore, in desperation, Mathewbad and Chaos reached an agreement and formed a coalition. The Chaos Demon Army destroyed the Spire Palace and relieved the pressure on the south of Moussilon." This is Teresa's last general feeling. After the sorcerer finished speaking, she looked at Ryan expectantly, waiting for his evaluation.
"Heh!" Who knows that Ryan hasn't spoken before, Mojianna sneered. The lake **** witch's beautiful face was full of majesty and coldness. She said in a deep voice: "Ms. Teresa, yes, from logic In the above, your judgment is not a problem, but I want to ask you, if this is the case, what can Chaos get? What reason do they have to help the undead?"
"For destruction and killing?" Teresa tried her best to keep her grace: "The undead is bound to reach an agreement with Chaos..."
"No, it's not possible." Ryan interrupted Teresa, and he motioned to Morjana to listen to him: "The purpose of the undead is to rule, whether it is Matthew Bard or the Lich King Akhan, their The goal is to build a kingdom of the dead, right on this land that the goddess gave us, and for Chaos, all they want is..."
"...Destroy, complete destruction." Mogiana stared at Teresa: "The undead wants to conquer and rule, while the chaos wants to destroy. It is impossible for the two parties to reach an agreement unless it is an extreme situation, but the current situation For Musilon’s venomous snake, it is far from reaching that level. There used to be dark elf pirates and northern barbarians who could form an alliance against the empire and the Allied Forces of Breton when plundering south, but the opponent is the Chaos Demon Army."
The Chaos Demon Army is a subspace creature, even with the full support of the Cthulhu, it is impossible for the Chaos Demon Army to stay in the mortal world for a long time before the Great Guardian and Maelstrom have not expired.
"Well... we still have too few newspapers." Ryan shook his head in distress. He motioned to Morjana and Teresa not to get entangled with this kind of thing. The count himself said loudly: "We are in the Sharon Forest for the time being. I’ve written to Francois and Your Excellency Bohemond to request support. When their army arrives, we will discuss separately. Please bear in mind that the Chaos Demon Army’s combat effectiveness is extraordinary for any army in the world. It can be matched, and you must not take the initiative to attack because of your brain!"
The power of the Chaos Demon Army Everyone knows that without assembling a real army, it is impossible to defeat this strange demon army led by Carlos, the number one demon fate weaver under the odd seat.
"Yes!" The crowd broke up. Due to the unfavorable situation of the war, the knights were also quite dejected. They slowly left the big tent and went back to their tents to rest.
"Fedmond, Gerrod, you stay." Ryan motioned to Federmond and Gerrod to stay.
There were soon five people left in the big tent, Ryan, Theresa, Morjana, Federmond, and Gerrod sitting on the table, looking at the map.
It seemed to be raining outside the tent, and the night was very cold in the early season. Even if there was a brazier in the tent, the cold wind was still blowing.
The five people in the tent were not afraid of the cold. After sitting down, Ryan arranged for everyone to have dinner together. Today’s dinner was grilled steak and lamb chops, stewed broccoli and corn soup. The wine is a low-grade sweet sparkling cider.
Affected by the defeat, several people were a little silent. Morjana and Teresa didn’t eat much. They just ate some vegetables and thick soup to deal with it. Ryan, Federmond, and Gerrold didn’t care about that much. Eat and drink.
Historically, the Cavaliers can eat this is the performance of the fight.
Until it was almost done, Ryan said: "Actually, I also agree with Teresa's point of view."
The female warlock's watch suddenly lit up, she put down the spoon, her face was a little excited and complained: "Then why didn't you just..."
"Ms. Teresa." Gerrod stretched out his hand to signal the sorcerer to stay calm, and the Paladin whispered: "Because that is not the right time, this defeat has made the morale of the army... Certainly the undead has united with Chaos..."
"It will cause a huge blow to the morale of the army." Federmond added, the Holy Grail knight also frowned: "We who have participated in the Holy Grail Expedition, all know that the Chaos Demon is powerful, unless it is Boshmond. Lord De, Lord François, or Lord Ryan, a holy grail knight, no one can deal with the chaos demon, and ordinary holy grail knights can't do it."
The female warlock was sullen, and she lowered her head unwillingly.
"It's not to blame you, Teresa." Ryan reached out and patted the hand of the sorcerer lightly, beckoning her not to mind: "You are my courtier, all you have to do is to speak out your own ideas, and I’m the one who has to consider this impact"
"I still doubt the union of the undead and the chaos." Morjana shook her head, and the Lake God Witch said to Ryan, "Ryan, why do you think that Mathieubad will ally with Chaos?"
"The reason is simple." Ryan nodded, and he smiled: "In short, this is called behavioral economics."
"Behavioral economics?" The Lake God Witch motioned to Ryan and continued.
"For example." Ryan nodded, and he took out ten gold crowns and placed them on the table.
"Suppose, I am an imperial merchant, and I want to transport a batch of grain to Kurona for sale."
"Now I have two choices. First, I can go to Montfort’s axe-bite pass. Since I have a strong guard, I can almost guarantee safety when I go to the axe-bite pass, but due to the high tariffs, I go. Only one thousand kroner can be earned this time."
"Alternatively, I can choose to take the road of the Gray Lady in Pallaon. This road is quite dangerous. I can only pass 50% safely, but if I pass successfully, I only need to pay low tariffs, so I can earn three thousand dollars. The crown is even four thousand gold crowns."
"In this case, how would you choose?"
As soon as Ryan's voice fell, Gerrod and Federmond said without hesitation: "Of course it is a safe and safe choice to choose to take the axe and bite the pass."
Teresa also agreed to take the axe to bite the pass, only Mogiana said disdainfully: "If it were me, I would go the way of the gray lady, I don't believe that any enemy can hurt me."
"Morgiana, you are willing to go to the Ms. Gray Mountains because you have a strong strength." Ryan shook his head with a wry smile: "And let you go with you, let alone two thousand krona, businessmen can earn five hundred krona. "
"So what the **** are you trying to say?" Mojana's golden eyebrows wrinkled.
"Listen to me first." Ryan shook his head, and he continued: "Now let's assume that if we take the path of the Gray Lady, we will meet the Greenskin Tribe and half of the food will be robbed. Now we face two more things. Choices."
"First of all, we can choose to return the same way immediately. Obviously, half of the goods we lost will not be returned, but at least half of the goods and people survived."
"Or, we can take people to chase the green-skinned tribe deep in the mountains. Assuming that we have a 50% chance of recovering our goods, and it is 50% possible that not only will we not be able to recover the goods, but we have to connect with the remaining half of the goods. Even the fate goes in together. In this case, how would you choose?"
At this time, both Federmond and Gerrold realized something, Federmond pondered for a while, or said to me: "I think I will still choose to pursue the Greenskin tribe."
"Me too." Both Gerold and Morjana thought that the goods must be recovered. At this time, only the sorcerer chose to give up: "My life is the most important thing, and I will not take my life to risk it."
"Very good." Ryan smiled. He collected ten gold crowns and said with a smile: "This is called behavioral economics."
"A mortal has a kind of nature, which makes him not completely sensible when dealing with gains and losses."
"When facing benefits, mortals hate risks, and they prefer guaranteed benefits. Even if the benefits are lower, mortals can accept it."
"In the face of loss, mortals always prefer to take risks. At this time, they will dislike the losses that have been determined. Instead, they hope to recover their losses by taking risks, even if they may suffer more. A big loss, we will know if we think about it, it is unlikely that we will really go after the greenskin tribe to regain the goods, but many people still choose this way."
"Because mortals are more sensitive to losses than gains." Ryan crossed his hands, pressed the back of his hands on his nose, and supported his elbows on the table: "With choices, most mortals hope to take risks. The risk comes to'turn over'."
"Of course, there will be a small group of people who choose to stop loss. I'm talking about most people, not everyone."
Everyone was thoughtful after listening.
This problem is actually very similar to a problem that Ryan often faced in his previous life, that is, "100% get one million and 50% get five million, 50% get nothing", even if everyone knows the second option. The expected return is greater than the first choice, and most people will still choose the first one because they will securely receive one million.
But instead of "100% loss of 1 million and 50% loss of 5 million, 50% no loss", most people will choose the second one. They know that choosing the second one expects to lose more, but they still like it. Choose the second one, because if you win, there is no loss?
It should be emphasized here that Ryan refers to most people who are not all people, except for those who are good at levers and those who are sane enough.
"You mean, Mathieubad will choose to compromise to Chaos because he also wants to make a fortune, and the loss of the Spire Palace is a confirmed loss?" Morjana reluctantly accepted Ryan's opinion, and the Lake God Witch said Nodding understandingly: "Compromise to Chaos, or regain the Apex Palace, or worse, but he is willing to take risks."
"That's right." Ryan nodded: "Moreover, the benefit is not only to regain the Apex Palace. The Chaos Demon Army can withstand our offensive, giving Mathewbad the energy to concentrate on Raun and his army, which means no matter how strange it is. Whether the magic army is successful, at least they all helped Mathewbad against us. This is a stable income."
"So, to sum it up, it's not surprising that the undead will compromise to the chaos in a difficult situation." Ryan concluded: "So the problem is half solved, and the undead will compromise to the chaos. I can be sure."
After Ryan's analysis, the remaining four people in the tent were all convinced. Gerrod and Federmond nodded in agreement. Even Morgiana, who was determined to this, was shaken: "If you follow Ryan, The undead may indeed have compromised."
"Then the problem is here, the undead can compromise to Chaos, why would Chaos be willing to lend a helping hand to the undead?" Teresa was very happy to see her point of view recognized by Ryan, and the Sorceress ignored the warning eyes of Mogiana. , Immediately continued: "First of all, we can be sure that chaos is not here to destroy, so there is only one possibility left."
"Chaos is looking for something."
"What is the strange monster looking for?"
After listening to Ryan's words, everyone was lost in thought.
At this moment, a few bats suddenly flew from outside the tent into the tent, did a vampire lord suddenly appear in the tent, press the button! He has a big bald head, sunken eye sockets, and his face is pale without a trace of blood: "It's looking for a holy thing!"
"Who?" All the people present immediately drew their weapons and pointed directly at the vampire lord.
Who knows that the vampire lord sneered. He threw his weapon on the ground, then knelt on his knees, raised his hands, and expressed surrender: "Dear Lord Ryan Makado, I am the Vampire Baron, Hal Harry Si, from the von Kastein family, I came here and surrendered to you, I hope you can forgive my sins!"
"The tree world is coming!!" There was hatred between Mogiana's beautiful green eyes, the lake **** witch raised her head, and the thick branches immediately bound the vampire baron firmly: "Undead! What are you planning?! "
Hal Harris allowed himself to be sealed, and the Vampire Baron stared at Ryan with dark eyes: "I said, I have come to surrender. For some compelling reason, I can only surrender to you, Ryan Macado. , I have no choice."
"You know I never forgive vampires." Ryan stood up: "Why do you think I will accept your surrender?"
"Yes, I know." Hal Harris still remained kneeling: "But I have no choice."
After speaking, the vampire of the von Kastein family raised his head: "Because I have discovered an amazing secret! The great blood ancestor Vlad von Kastein is here! Damn Mathuba De, he gave up the glory of the midnight nobleman and surrendered to the chaos!"
"He is no longer worthy to be our leader!"
"Only you can beat him! Ryan Makado!"
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