Back to the Republic of China to be a editor

New York, United Nations Headquarters.

In the routine flag-raising ceremony of the United Nations Conference, the flag was raised to the top of the flagpole, then slowly lowered, and stopped at one-third of the flagpole.

This is the second time the United Nations has flown the flag at half-mast for a head of state with major international influence, the first being in 1948 for the assassinated Mahatma Gandhi.

Washington.

The White House is holding the 136th meeting of the National Security Council.

The new CIA director, Alan Welsh Dulles, first briefed Eisenhower on the latest Soviet situation.

Although Allen Dulles had only been the director of the CIA for more than a month, his position was not obtained by "sealing the official" after the Eisenhower campaign team won the election.He was engaged in intelligence work in the 30s, and he also learned a lot of Nazi espionage skills when he was active in Germany.When Walter Smith was the director of the CIA, he was actually the deputy director.

Allen Dulles' brother is John Dulles, and what everyone calls "Dulles Doctrine" is "Dulles Doctrine".Now these two brothers, the elder brother is the secretary of state, and the younger brother is the director of the CIA.

"The news of Stalin's death is sure and correct, and the official Soviet newspapers, radio, and TV stations are all broadcasting it." Allen Dulles said, "Stalin's body was placed in a crystal coffin and parked in the Column Hall near Red Square for people to mourn. Our embassy has confirmed that there was a stampede at the scene, causing many casualties.”

"Has my message of condolence been sent?" Eisenhower asked the White House chief of staff.

"After the last meeting, we drew up a condolence message and showed it to you. The condolence message you signed was sent out yesterday."

The condolence message was drafted at a meeting, reviewed and signed by Eisenhower. It was actually not long. There was only one sentence: "The United States government would like to express its condolences to the Soviet government for the death of the chairman of the Soviet Council of Ministers, Marshal Stalin." opinion is long.

Eisenhower: "How will the Soviet leadership change after Stalin's death? Is there any possibility of rivalry and palace coup among the Soviet leadership?"

Allen Dulles: "It should be said that there is such a possibility, and it is very likely to happen within the next three months to one year."

"The death of Stalin deprived the CPSU system of the most important personal factor, and the Soviet system will inevitably encounter serious difficulties, which will almost certainly give rise to internal intrigues in the leadership, but it cannot be assumed that these conspiracies will lead to a serious weakening of the Soviet regime and major changes in domestic and foreign policies. Change." It was the director of the Department of Intelligence of the State Department who spoke.

"CIA, tell me your detailed analysis. . . . In the Stalin era, the only faces in the West were Stalin and Molotov. Soviet bureaucrats, even senior bureaucrats, were hidden behind them." Eisenhower Said, "We know so little about what's going on beyond the Iron Curtain."

"Molotov, like Mikoyan, is now in a very high position, but his relationship with Stalin is relatively cold. They were not reused by Stalin, so they did not have their own party members. Therefore, Molotov launched a palace coup and participated in the There is zero chance of a power struggle."

Allen Dulles opened the file bag and took out another stack of documents.

"After Stalin's death, the contenders for the highest seat of power in the Soviet Union will be the following three:"

"Lavrenti Pavlovich Beria, Marshal of the Soviet Union, head of the NKVD (secret police) for a long time. He assisted Stalin in carrying out the Great Purge and ordered the Soviet Army to rob German experts after World War II, 1946 At the [-]th National Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, Beria was criticized by Stalin, but in the election of the [-]th National Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, he served as a member of the Standing Committee of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union (member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo) Member of the National Defense Standing Committee of the Central Presidium."

"Georgy Maximilianovich Malenkov, Stalin's favorite. In 1946, Malenkov became a member of the Standing Committee of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union. At the 7th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, he entered the nine-member executive bureau of the Presidium. In the [-]th At the Ninth National Congress, Stalin was seriously ill and only spoke for six to seven minutes, leaving the task of reading the report of the Central Committee to Malenkov.”

"Nikita Sergeyevich Khrushchev, a peasant who served in the Soviet Army during World War II, was a mediocre political commissar. He was summoned from Ukraine to Moscow by Stalin in 1949, probably for the sake of Balance the power of Beria, Malenkov, Bulganin and others. This person has risen rapidly in the CPSU party, surpassing Bulganin in 1952."

"The CIA's judgment," Dulles said, "is that Malenkov is Stalin's designated successor, but unfortunately, our intelligence system shows that Stalin does not seem to have left a political will, so the two men, Khrushchev and Malenkov There will be an open and secret struggle between the second and third heirs. Beria is a key factor in the battle of successors. Since Beria controls the NKVD, this is a better army than the Soviet Red Army With a powerful organization and a huge intelligence agency, Beria tends to support which heir, then the probability of winning this heir is much higher than his opponent."

"Your information is very detailed, but I don't seem to think so about the forecast of the prospect."

While listening to Dulles' oral briefing, Eisenhower was also flipping through the information on the table.After Dulles finished speaking, Eisenhower shook his head.

"Malinkov and Khrushchev will temporarily unite to complete the purge of Beria. After Beria is removed, Malenkov and Khrushchev will compete with each other. The competition between the two may be peaceful It can also be intense, and it can take a long time."

Allen Dulles: ...

……

Beijing.

From the State Planning Commission to Zhongnanhai, when the car passed by Chang'an Street, Tang Hua saw a large portrait of Stalin temporarily erected on the square.There are many wreaths placed under the portrait.The car turned a corner, and above a slogan wall on the side of the street hung two photos, one of the chairman and one of Malenkov.

amount……

Malenkov...

But there seems to be nothing wrong with it.At the special congress of the CPSU yesterday, March 3, Malenkov was elected as the first secretary of the CPSU Central Committee and chairman of the Council of Ministers. No matter how you look at it, he looks like Stalin's successor.

In the original history, Malenkov served as the first secretary of the CPSU Central Committee for 9 days, and then gave it to Khrushchev.This was not caused by an accident, but a compromise reached at the small meeting at the Kuntsewo Villa.Although Malenkov was favored by Stalin, his reputation among the upper echelons of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union was relatively poor. Even civil servants in Moscow circulated jokes about him. Immediately return to the original form.In contrast, Khrushchev, who was well-connected at this time, was more acceptable to the Presidium of the CPSU.

These basic conditions have not changed, and Malenkov's abdication is not a historical accident.Now Tang Hua is basically sure that Malenkov's dual role is only temporary, and the Soviet Union will soon enter a short-lived era of dual speakers.

"When the preparations for the Taiwan campaign began, we officially notified the Soviet side," the Prime Minister said. "The notification was not too detailed, and of course there was no particularly detailed plan at that time. Because we did not ask the Soviet Union to send troops directly, and secondly, we did not ask for assistance. , Even the PT-76 was paid in full out of our own pocket, so the Soviet Union did not send a military advisory group to guide the whole process. Now that there are internal changes in the Soviet Union, it will not affect the normal progress of the Taiwan War.”

"Chairman Malenkov is Stalin's close comrade-in-arms and assistant. Malenkov will not overthrow what Comrade Stalin knew and agreed to." After the prime minister's analysis, the chairman said with certainty.

It cannot be said that the Soviet Advisory Group did not come to give pointers at all. They had already inspected the General Staff and gave advice on the construction of the General Staff, and Stemenko also visited the War Information Center.Although I feel strange about the many settings of Beijing's combat situation center, but Shtemenko sees that the center is less than 500 meters away from the chairman's residence, within walking distance, and our army is now smaller than the Soviet army, and only in the direction of North Korea The existence of large-scale military operations is also reluctantly recognized.

As for the detailed campaign planning of the Taiwan campaign, it was mainly led by Su Yu and Zhang Zhen, and the auxiliary staff were also from the General Staff.

"After Stalin's death, we may have to consider the change in the attitude of the United States," Nie Shuai said. "Of course, this is mainly in the direction of North Korea. Seeing Stalin's death, the United States may have greater hope for a quick agreement in the armistice negotiations. "

Tang Hua: "This is indeed a fact. If the Americans think so, then they have made a correct judgment."

Prime Minister: "I have considered all of this, so what the Americans think of Stalin's death will not interfere with us for the time being."

"But the United States may see some hope because of this," Tang Hua said, "not our side, but Eastern Europe. The death of Stalin will make the West feel that the Soviet Union is in a temporarily weak state. Maybe in three or four months, they will be in a state of weakness in the Soviet Union. Europe will take some action."

……

Washington, the White House.

The 136th meeting of the National Security Council was not only to analyze and predict the future movements of the top Soviet Union, but also to formulate a general program for the next step of the United States.

"For the death of Stalin, the first thing we should do is to implement a psychological strategic plan."

Jackson, Special Assistant to the President for Cold War Operations, offered his own proposal.

"First of all, a presidential speech should be delivered as soon as possible, proposing to convene a meeting of foreign ministers of the four countries to discuss issues such as German unification and disarmament."

"No, don't involve Europe," Eisenhower said, "at least not now. We should not bring up specific issues such as convening a meeting of the four foreign ministers, but we should mention disarmament."

Following Eisenhower's revisions, Jackson's psychological strategic plan laid out a general outline:

The overall action, beginning with a speech by Eisenhower, was the basis of the psychological strategy.After the President's speech, official actions of all kinds need to be supplemented by a series of important psychological operations to exploit, prolong and strengthen the psychological impact of various political, economic and military operations.

To be concealed, the most effective way may be to use covert pressure to induce the government officials of the Soviet Union and its satellite countries to defect, and to spread suspicion among all levels of the Communist Party in the satellite countries and the free world.

The intelligence agencies have a crucial role to play, requiring careful coordination of all media, especially with the official statements of the president. In the propaganda of the Soviet regime change, the emphasis is on exaggerating the new Soviet regime's "betrayal" of Stalinism .

Finally, when the time was right, the U.S. government stepped in and took some action in support.

……

"Americans feel the Soviet Union is in a temporary state of weakness?"

The prime minister glanced at Tang Hua, it seemed that it was not the Americans who thought it was, but the Soviet Union was really in a weak state now.

"Americans should think so." Tang Hua said, "The important thing is what the United States will do next."

"After the death of Stalin and the gradual cessation of memorial activities, Eisenhower will give a speech. This speech does not show a more aggressive attitude towards the Soviet Union. On the contrary, Eisenhower will hint that he is willing to ease with the Soviet Union, and strongly calls on the United States and the Soviet Union to fight. Use common efforts to maintain peace in all countries of the world."