USSR 1991

Yanayev's astonishing words startled Dobrynin, and conflicts broke out in the Asia-Pacific region?Does it refer to the war between the United States, China and the Soviet Union?

"War is the most helpless way to solve political problems, so so far, the leaders of the three countries of the United States, China and the Soviet Union still have some knowledge and will not tear their skins on this issue. Although the Mario government has always shown a very tough attitude, but from the perspective of national interests, they will not gossip on this issue, but the two sides have not found a good step and take a step back. The Soviet Union wants to sell enough arms before the two sides take a step back , to win over one's own power among the Asia-Pacific countries."

Dobrynin finally wanted to understand why the Soviet Union suddenly cooperated with Japan in the development of anti-ship missile systems. It turned out that all the purposes revolved around this.

When Yanayev said this, many problems that had been entangled with Dobrynin before were solved.

"I understand the meaning of the general secretary. He wants me to understand the political dynamics among Asian countries and determine the position and attitude of each country on this crisis. Fortunately, when I act as a US-Soviet liaison officer, I have more information on hand. Information that can be used as a bargaining chip." After understanding this point, Dobrynin knew what he should do.

"One more thing, Comrade Dobrynin."

When the newly appointed international affairs consultant was about to leave, Yanayev suddenly said behind him, "If you can successfully resolve this matter, the central government will consider the wish you have always wanted to achieve. In fact, In the hands of Gorbachev, I really wronged you."

Dobrynin paused at the door of the office. He clenched his fists. It was the first time in the past five years that he, who had been disheartened, had his fighting spirit and ambition burning.

"Don't let the Soviet down, Comrade Dobrynin."

Dobrynin replied firmly, "I will never let the organization down, General Secretary Yanayev."

4Chapter 16 Final Winner

Perhaps it was Yanayev's words that inspired Dobrynin's fighting spirit. Dobrynin had been making preparations before starting his visit to Korea. Formulate various policies for South Korea.

In terms of the Soviet army, Yanayev was good at promoting young men, but in politics, there was no exception for the politics of the elderly. Yanayev firmly believed that the experience needed in international affairs was far more important than unrestrained imagination.Therefore, whether it is the position of a member of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee or other high-level central officials, Yanayev seldom promotes it. The only political star Comrade Putin who is considered the most promising has never moved from the position of Deputy Minister of Internal Affairs. and promoted too.

Because Dobrynin was included in the core circle of the delegation visiting South Korea by Yanayev, he had better access to certain high-level intelligence, which was better than when he was under Gromyko. There are even more secrets.At least even the arms sales, negotiation process and political bargaining chips for this visit to South Korea have been arranged.

"The 1134A-class guided missile cruiser, the Kenda-class guided missile cruiser, and the Type 956 Excellence destroyer were sold to the South Korean government. By the way, some decommissioned BM21 multiple rocket launchers were also sold. It seems that this visit to South Korea is entirely for squeezing The remaining value of the other party."

Dobrynin could even imagine how Pavlov would intimidate the South Korean delegation at the negotiating table. There was a feeling that if you don't buy our products, the Korean People's Army will march south.I don't know how Kim Young-sam, who has been regarded as an abandoned son by President Mario, will feel when the time comes, trembling in front of the torrent of steel?

Pavlov didn't feel that way. In his eyes, weapons were just a way to exchange for foreign exchange. The Soviet Union's developed military industry contributed at least [-]% to economic growth.The more unpredictable the situation abroad, the more open the Soviet Union's arms sales market.

"Okay, Advisor Dobrynin, actually, these are not the main points for you. I want to know how you will resolve the irreconcilable conflict between the United States and the Soviet Union?" Pavlov asked Dao said that it was hard for him to imagine that the man in his 70s had played a key role in the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962.Although Moscow did not treat him very well before, and even considered Dobrynin a sympathizer of the Western world, Thun, the US ambassador to the Soviet Union during the Carter era, pointed out bluntly that Dobrynin was not ours at any time. Friends, he was a firm believer in Soviet ideology and national interests.

Although he once served as the secretary of the Central Secretariat and the head of the International Department, Dobrynin is still a special existence in Moscow's top management.

"The international political game is nothing more than a question of interests. When interests conflict, one thing must be considered, whether this interest is worth the price to save. During the Cuban missile crisis, I was the first to realize that The United States is defending their core interests, so when Cuba established a missile base, the United States will show such a crazy attitude. Compared with Khrushchev's handling of the Turkish missile incident, their methods are obviously more tough."

Dobrynin was immersed in the memories of the past, "But the Cuban missile crisis is remembered all over the world, and most people don't know about the Turkish missile incident. Why is this? Because the attitude of the United States is tougher than ours. "

"You mean, the Soviet Union's attitude in this Asia-Pacific crisis is no less than that of the United States in the Cuban missile crisis?" Pavlov asked.

"A tough attitude is one thing, but a flexible approach is another. At least everyone knows that this is an agreement where interests are compromised and a consensus is reached. The Taiwan issue does not belong to the core interests of the United States, but it is China's taboo. The United States The aircraft carrier battle group provokes and tests China's bottom line again and again, and will only suffer the worst results."

Worst outcome?The only thing Pavlov thought of was that the Dongfeng missile landed on the deck of the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier, and then completely erased the Pacific Seventh Fleet from the map.Judging from China's current response, this possibility is as high as [-]%. If the support of the Soviet Union is added, then this possibility will rise further.

"Soviet Union? Of course, the Soviet Union will stand firmly on the side of the anti-American alliance, but there is still a very critical issue. That is, when both sides are about to touch the bottom line, the Soviet Union will stand up and act as an offshore balancer." After all, it is impossible for us to cause a world war to break out." Dobrynin chattered so much, but it was only halfway through.

"I think the most likely scenario is that the Soviet Union's Pacific Fleet will directly intervene in the dispute, forming a three-legged situation in the Strait area. The United States has three aircraft carrier battle groups, while China and the Soviet Union control a Kiev-class and Ulyano The Vsk. It is slightly at a disadvantage, but it is not so bad that it is suppressed by the Americans."

After listening to Dobrynin's narration, Pavlov finally understood why he brought this retired old guy back into the Moscow political circle. The only way to guess the movement of the central government in a few words is to delve into the situation Dobrynin forever.

Indeed, according to the current situation, the worst plan is a conflict between the three countries in the Asia-Pacific waters, and it is not clear how it will end.

"Prime Minister Pavlov, there is another very important point. Don't forget it. Letting go at the right time can actually make greater profits. If you hold on tightly, you may change midway."

This is a lesson learned by Dobrynin in the biggest crisis of the twentieth century. Although Khrushchev did not choose to evacuate the ship due to his personal face at the beginning, after the two sides reached an agreement, Khrushchev also He also achieved his purpose.The Americans withdrew the medium-range missiles deployed by Turkey, but Castro's regime remained.

Cuba, a country located in a sensitive area of ​​the United States, threatens the throat of the United States like a needle.

Dobrynin said, "So the Soviet Union should know where it is. We originally wanted to take advantage of this Asia-Pacific crisis to expand our sphere of influence, and the final outcome was to bring peace to the Asia-Pacific region. So in the end we maintained the status quo. And The Soviet Union won a fortune from it. General Secretary Yanayev means that in this crisis, the United States can only be the loser, while the Soviet Union is the ultimate winner.”

4Chapter 17 If you don’t buy, you lose

Jin Yongsan finally knew what the threat of leaving no trace was.When the Soviet Union announced the news of their visit to South Korea, North Korea, which was preparing for an urban combat exercise, immediately stopped the threat of war and resumed its usual attitude of quieting down. Yanayev used this ingenious way to warn Kim Young-sam that North Korea is now in the hands of the Soviet Union. A dog, as for what you want to do in Korea, you'd better consider your position clearly.

It is precisely because of this that Kim Young-sam showed unprecedented hostility towards the Soviet Union. When the Soviet delegation arrived at Incheon International Airport, the South Korean side actually only sent a deputy foreign minister to meet Pavlov. With Dobrynin in the same company, this kind of treatment that obviously does not meet the diplomatic reception standards can only show one thing. The relationship between South Korea and the Soviet Union may not be as friendly as imagined.

Pavlov, who has seen big winds and waves, will naturally not be intimidated by Kim Young-sam's resignation, although the Vice Foreign Minister has repeatedly emphasized that this is only a temporary change, not a negligence in diplomatic arrangements.But Pavlov simply smiled, saying that he didn't care.

Dobrynin, who was on the sidelines, saw a sense of sarcasm in Pavlov's eyes. It was obvious that South Korea's small revenge move this time made Prime Minister Pavlov very unhappy, so much so that he got off the plane and started , did not say a word.Such an atmosphere of silence made Dobrynin somewhat unacceptable.

"Prime Minister Pavlov, shouldn't we make some indirect remarks on the President of South Korea, and it would be best to make him realize which country he is negotiating with?" Dobrynin interjected. Being an observer doesn't mean it can't comment, let alone Dobrynin was originally an expert in international affairs.Therefore, he believes that he has every reason to let President Kim Young-sam realize who is the boss who has the initiative in the negotiations under the circumstances that may lead to losses.

"No need." Pavlov replied, looking at the scenery outside the car window, his tone was unhurried, "In the face of interests and strength, can these small actions of Kim Young-sam change the final outcome of the negotiation? No. Instead, I find it a little ridiculous."

"Ridiculous?" Dobrynin was a little puzzled.

"Yes, the weak always pin their hopes on others, but Kim Young-sam forgot one thing, that is, from the moment the United States refused to send the fleet, they were abandoned by the Western camp. So you think Kim Young-sam is in the next In the negotiation, what other capital is there to bargain with us?"

The convoy drove into the presidential palace, and Kim Young-sam was waiting for Pavlov's arrival. As the protagonist of this negotiation, Kim Young-sam was in a very complicated mood. He hoped that the Soviet Union could end the incident on the Korean Peninsula and make the restless The situation on the peninsula has returned to calm.At the same time, he hated the methods used by the Soviet Union behind the scenes.This is simply forcing South Korea to submit.

At this time, Kim Young-san was still holding on to the last glimmer of hope, hoping that the United States could realize the importance of South Korea through this negotiation, but the reality was relatively cruel, and he didn't even realize that South Korea is now besieged on all sides. .

On one side is China, which is preparing for war, on the other side is North Korea, which is gearing up and waiting for the Soviet Union's order, and even Japan in the south is flirting with the Soviet Union, so Kim Young-sam is destined to end in tragedy.

"Your Excellency, President Kim Young-sam." Pavlov looked a little aggressive when he came up, and he said with a smile, "I think it's time for us to get together here to discuss the future of the Korean Peninsula. Even in your eyes, the Soviet Prime Minister only It’s just a person who can be received by a deputy foreign minister. I don’t care about these.”

Jin Yongsan did not speak, silence is his greatest weapon.After all, this meeting was just a tentative attack for him, and he wanted to know where the Soviet Union's purpose and bottom line were.

"But I need to make a statement to the South Korean government. What is happening now is not only the Korean Peninsula, but the entire Asia-Pacific region. China is actively preparing for a conflict. Even Japan has purchased the latest shore-to-ship missiles. , North Korea strengthened its army armored force, doesn't President Kim Young-sam understand what that means?"

"What does it mean?" Jin Yongsan asked.

"It means that every country is actively increasing its military strength. Once a conflict breaks out and gets out of control, then for Japan, this is the best way to normalize the military. For China, this is the best way to regain Taiwan." For North Korea, the unification of the peninsula is just around the corner." Pavlov deliberately said it lightly, but in Kim Young-sam's view, it was like a bolt from the blue.

However, Kim Young-san still refused, "Thank you, South Korea has obtained the most advanced equipment from the United States, and will not consider these issues for the time being."

"The most advanced weapon?" Pavlov shook his head and continued on the topic, "There will never be the most advanced weapon on the battlefield, only the most suitable weapon. Compared with the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier, for South Korea Isn’t our Kiev class more practical? And the Soviet Union is now preparing to sell the cruisers and destroyers in its hands. I think the South Korean Navy should be very interested in them.”

"No." Jin Yongsan rejected the other party coldly. Since the Kiev class, he has not liked the Soviet Union's arms sales.

"Even if the Korean People's Army captures Seoul, don't you think about this issue?" Pavlov's friendly expression is being restrained bit by bit. He straightened his face and said in a cold voice, "Have you not considered it? Why When the Soviet Union visited South Korea, the Korean People's Army chose to stop the drill?"

Jin Yongsan was stunned for a moment. Before, he always believed that the reason why the Korean People's Army stopped the exercise was because the Soviet Union was behind the scenes. Now it seems that it is far from being as simple as imagined.

"Of course, I think the Korean People's Army should prefer our weapons. After all, we have specially prepared missiles for them that can attack any ship of the South Korean Navy, rockets that can completely suppress the opponent's attack or defense, and various Anti-tank missiles and anti-aircraft missiles, just don’t know when North Korea attacks, what ability does South Korea have to support the moment when the U.S. fleet comes to rescue? Maybe they are already struggling enough in the Taiwan Strait, am I right?”

With Jin Yongsan's gradually heavy expression, Pavlov's threats became more serious each time.

"This is no longer the war of the 50s. President Kim Young-sam, if he persists, he will lose everything in this conflict."

Chapter 448 Wuchang has morals?

The Soviet Union has shown an unprecedented tough attitude on the issue of arms sales to South Korea. This has a great relationship with the camp chosen by South Korea. Ryutaro Hashimoto, as a pro-China faction, naturally stands on the side of China and the Soviet Union. In addition to the good position, other countries are more or less hostile to the United States.So they would not refuse to conduct arms sales with the Soviet Union before.

The only president who refused to bow his head, Kim Young-sam, seemed a little dangerous.