Battlefield Contract Worker

Chapter 4406: Crisis analysis

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The actuary sighed Kishi, "The secret society organization is very powerful. Fortunately, we successfully prevented their terrorist attack. Otherwise, the Moroccans will inevitably be overwhelmed and lose sight of one another."

"So the local armed forces in Western Sahara will have a certain advantage. And as the war progresses, this advantage will get bigger and bigger?" Sausage asked.

The actuary kept Kishi silent for a while, "That's not going to happen. Even if the Moroccans lost a bit of an advantage, they are numerous and powerful. Although they suffer a small loss at present, they have an advantage in military strength and equipment.

Don't forget that they also have a large number of mechanized troops and a considerable air force. It is actually very simple to restore this disadvantage.

But what I am most afraid of now is that the local armed forces of Western Sahara will not fight the Moroccans seriously. These people were originally militiamen, irregular troops, and familiar with how to survive in desert areas.

Plus they have the support of secret societies and a wider mass base in Western Sahara.

Once they want to fight against the Moroccans, although they will not defeat the Moroccans, they will definitely be able to maintain a stalemate with the Moroccans for a long time.

Even if it will inevitably fall to the wind in the end, even if it drags, it can drag the Moroccans to half death. "

"Just some militias fighting guerrilla warfare, what can they do to the Moroccans?" Sausage shook his head. "In modern warfare, guerrilla warfare has proven to be unsuitable for large-scale long-term continuation."

Jiangishi shook his head, "Don't underestimate guerrilla warfare. Generally speaking, guerrilla warfare is only a tactical issue. However, under special circumstances, guerrilla warfare can also rise to a strategic level.

The U.S. war in Vietnam is the best proof. The Vietnam War was the largest and most influential war the United States participated in after World War II. In the end, the United States lost the Vietnam War.

The United States, a powerful military, directly participated in the war with 650,000 people, and more than 100,000 people were killed, wounded or missing. The United States lost 8,612 aircraft throughout the Vietnam War.

The U.S. economy suffered a sharp decline, the dollar's hegemony was hit hard, and huge fiscal deficits appeared.

This war even completely changed the pattern of the rivalry between the United States and the Soviet Union: throughout the 1970s, the United States turned to a strategic defensive position, while the Soviet Union was a strategic offensive position.

At that time, many U.S. military experts believed that the Vietnam War was lost in the enemy's guerrilla warfare. A large number of irregular troops, ubiquitous attack. The U.S. military, which won World War II, suffered heavy losses in Vietnam. "

"Do you think those armed militias in Western Sahara can beat the Moroccans? Wouldn't it be so exaggerated?" Sausage asked.

"Impossible. History is very difficult to repeat, and the situation and conditions of both sides are completely different from those during the Vietnam War." Masaki shook his head, "But what I want to say is that it is very likely that they will be deadlocked for a period of time.

And this deadlock will eventually be broken with one side's compromise, and the two sides will return to the negotiating table. "

"You mean the Moroccans will compromise?" Scarface whispered.

The actuary nodded Kishi, "It's very possible. Because of the Western Saharans, there is nothing to lose. The Moroccans are worried.

Because the Western Saskatchewan issue has been difficult to resolve, it has not only seriously hindered Morocco's economic and social development, but also adversely affected regional stability and development, regional integration and the global anti-terrorism situation.

Due to the discord between Morocco and Algeria, the construction of the Arab Maghreb Union has come to a standstill; since 1984, Morocco has always been outside the African Union because of the Western Sahara issue.

In the war on terrorism, the border areas between Morocco, Algeria, Western Sahara and Mauritania have become important strongholds for terrorist organizations to plan attacks due to their lack of effective management.

Recently, due to Iran's support for the Popular Front for Western Sahara, Morocco announced that it would cut off diplomatic relations with Iran.

The reason given by Morocco for the severance of diplomatic relations is that Iran, through Hezbollah in Lebanon, provides funds, arms and trains personnel to the Western Sahara People's Liberation Front, which seriously threatens Morocco's national security and interests.

In the past ten years, Morocco and many countries have fallen out because of the Western Sahara issue, including his important neighbor and potential opponent Algeria.

In fact, many of them are relatively influential countries in the Arab world.

But I don't think Morocco is really going to make itself a loner. When the pressure reaches a certain level, the Moroccans have to compromise.

The reason is simple, the Western Saharan armed groups are militias. Take up arms, they are warriors. Lay down their weapons, they can be anyone.

Maybe it's a street vendor selling date palms, maybe an ordinary office worker, or even an old man sitting on the street basking in the sun. A staggering old lady wrapped in a black turban.

In the confrontation between the Moroccans and them, armed repression was inevitable. This will bring a lot of negative news, the army massacres civilians, the soldiers shoot women and children.

Those international humanitarian organizations will stand up and condemn at the first time, as well as various charitable organizations and the UN Security Council.

Although Morocco has the sixth largest economy in Africa, North Africa ranks third. But phosphate exports, tourism and remittances are the main pillars of Morocco's economy.

Their agriculture has a certain foundation, but food cannot be self-sufficient, which requires imports. Once the international image is too bad, the relevant countries give them an embargo on the phosphate trade and prohibit the export of food.

Coupled with the impact of the war, tourism has declined. Morocco's economic strength will plummet~www.readwn.com~ These things must be considered as Morocco.

But as Western Saharan people, they don't have to worry at all. Because they had nothing. Even if the international community cuts off their aid, it will be against the Popular Front for Western Sahara.

Instead of targeting those local armed forces, for those local armed forces, as long as they have money and weapons from the gold owners, they can fight. "

Lin Rui couldn't help but let out a wry smile, "That's why it is said that people with bare feet are not afraid of wearing shoes. Moroccans have a family and a business, so they naturally have many concerns.

Those Western Saharan militias, they have nothing, they only have a bad life. Either fight for food and clothing, or hand over this rotten life to pull it down. Anyway, they didn't want to live in the desert and be fooled anymore. "

"If that's the case. Wouldn't things continue to develop as the Secret Society expects?" Sausage asked with a frown.

"I think it's too early to say, because there is a huge variable in it. That is the Popular Front of Western Sahara, they are currently the legal government recognized in Western Sahara. And they have us." Actuary Masanori replied.

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