I can see the status bar

Chapter 1163 Ask
A 1.4% positive rate is a very scary figure.Although judging only mathematically, this means that 500 samples out of 7 are marked red, which seems very small.

But if you multiply this number by a huge crowd, the statistic will be jaw-droppingly huge.

The current total population of the United States is 3.33 million. If the positive rate of 1.4% is used to infer, then on December 12 last year, there were at least 13 million people infected with the new coronavirus in the United States.

As a comparison, Cong Yunhe currently has a total of 49978 confirmed cases.According to the judgment of the World Health Organization, the basic reproduction number R0 of the new coronavirus is 2~3, the incubation period is seven days, and it can be transmitted on the third day after infection, etc. It is very "ideal" to judge that on December 12 last year, Yunhe will not have more than 13 patients infected with the new coronavirus.

There are 466 million people on one side and 20 people on the other.Which side is more like the origin of the epidemic?
Sun Lien couldn't help shivering. He was trying to find a hypothesis that could explain the 1.4% positive rate and 106 positive samples.

Suppose these 106 samples only represent California, Washington State, and Oregon?
He quickly turned on his phone and began to look up information. Through simple calculations, it can be known that Oregon has a population of about 380 million, Washington State has a population of 620 million, and California has the largest population, with a population of about 400 million.The total population of the three states is 5 million.

According to this data, on December 12 last year, about 13 people in the United States were infected with the new coronavirus.

Thinking of this, Sun Lien suddenly decided to give up his plan to defend the Americans.Even if the inspection of more than 7000 samples this time accurately and perfectly detected all the infected people in the United States at that time-this does not make sense at all-but by December 12 last year, the cumulative number of infected people in Yunhe could not have exceeded 13.You know, on January 100 this year, when Yunhe began to export cases continuously, Sun Lien made an estimate. At that time, the estimation result was that about one person in every 1 people in Yunhe was infected.In other words, on January 22, there were about 9000 infected people in Yunhe City.Even at that time, Yunhe's positive rate was still lower than the data obtained from this sample test.

The estimated positivity rate of a city is even lower than the estimated positivity rate of three states of a country, which does not make sense at all.

Unless... this cunning and insidious disease began to spread in the United States a long time ago.And Yunhe is not an area where "human beings were first infected with the new coronavirus", but China's direct disease reporting system and clinicians discovered abnormalities, and then reported them to the higher-level disease control department in time.

继续寻找相关的报告证据，WHO估计一个感染者感染1.25人所需平均时间约为5.5天。假如美国人在去年12月13日就有了接近470万感染者，那么大概110天以前，美国就出现了第一例感染者。

In other words, in the middle and late August of last year, the first case of infection should have appeared in the United States.

Mid to late August last year?What happened in America?Sun Li'en decided to bring this issue to the group for further discussion. He no longer dared to continue thinking about it by himself.Leaving aside whether Xiao Linfeng's news is credible or not, the act of conveying this information alone can explain many problems.

If Xiao Linfeng had no doubts, if he didn't think there might be a problem, Xiao Linfeng, an old fox, would never have told Sun Lien such information directly.

To convey this news to Sun Lien, naturally, he didn't expect Sun Lien to sit on the floor of Yunhe City Infectious Disease Hospital and figure out the whole story with a mobile phone.This is unrealistic, and it cannot be what Xiao Linfeng expected.This old fox would tell Sun Li'en the news, which is enough to prove that he has other demands, and... judging from the shocking degree of this news, the old fox must have a very big demand.

Sun Li'en himself was not sure whether he should convey this news to his superiors.But obviously, the superior leader himself has more judgment ability than him.

So Sun Li'en got up from the floor, clutching his cold buttocks, and found Song Wen who was about to pack up and leave the infectious disease hospital.

Song Wen is the coolest middle-aged woman in the world. Although she has quit smoking now, Sun Li'en always feels that there should be an invisible cigarette between Dean Song's fingers, and the smoke is always blowing out.

And it was such a middle-aged and elderly woman who was the coolest in the world. After hearing Sun Lien's message, she was stunned as if her computer had crashed.

"Are you sure?" After restarting from the crash, Song Wen's first sentence was a rhetorical question, "Are you sure what you said is correct, not paranoid or schizophrenic?"

"Absolutely not." Sun Lien said categorically, "My mental state is very normal. I do have a call record from Mr. Xiaolin on my mobile phone. There is also a recording of the call on my mobile phone--I am not making it up, That's what Xiao Linfeng told me."

Under Sun Lien's gaze, Song Wen slowly sat on the stool.She opened the small bag she was carrying, took off the mask without professionalism and awareness of infection prevention and control, then took out an unopened pack of cigarettes from the bag, took one out and stuffed it into her mouth.

Taking out the lighter with a trembling hand, Song Wen lit it five or six times in a row before he got a small, trembling orange flame.She brought the cigarette to her lips and took a drag.After a full ten seconds, she exhaled smoke and asked, "Who else have you told about this?"

"There is no one else but you." Sun Lien said, "Do you need me to send you a copy of the call recording?"

"Send it." Song Wen categorically said, "Don't mention this matter to anyone. After sending the recording to me, save some recordings in other places. I will report to the Health and Medical Commission now-this matter must be dealt with." Bigger!"

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To put it bluntly, Yunhe is the safest place in the world right now.Everyone in this megacity must stay at home and not go out without permits and passes.Whether it is from the perspective of epidemic prevention and control or from the perspective of public security, this city is the safest place in the entire world.

But in the safest place in the world, Sun Li'en was grounded.

According to Song Wen's direct instructions, Sun Li'en is not allowed to go out of the hotel under any circumstances before getting her permission.Let alone strolling around the hotel gate, they are not even allowed to go to work.

In other words, Sun Li'en was temporarily relieved of all duties and locked up in a hotel without going out.

Sun Li'en felt a little baffled at first, but after he found that there were a lot of police patrol vehicles outside the hotel, he suddenly felt...something seemed wrong.

On the afternoon of the first day he was grounded in the hotel, Sun Lien saw two middle-aged men in white shirts in his room.The two arrived at the hotel together accompanied by Song Wen.After entering the hotel room, Song Wen didn't even give any introduction to the identities of the two middle-aged people, but just said, "Answer what they ask, don't hide it." Then he left the room directly.

These two staff members looked very polite. First, they politely occupied Sun Lien's desk, and then one of them spread out a stack of letter paper on it, and took out a pen to start recording.The other person asked Sun Lien to "sit down in a comfortable position" and began to ask questions.

(End of this chapter)